Final Score: Mets 4 - Cubs 1
Sunday, August 30, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Mets @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
58-72 Rating 1485
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
65-62 Rating 1512
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Cubs
All-time wins 281 268
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 4 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cubs
Games played 130 127
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 45% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 61%