Final Score: Padres 1 - Pirates 5
Friday, September 18, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
66-81 Rating 1457
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Pirates
55-89 Rating 1407
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 187 234
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 147 144
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.8
Win percentage 45% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 51%