Final Score: Pirates 1 - Astros 9
Friday, September 11, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
54-84 Rating 1411
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +1.1
Astros
68-72 Rating 1495
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 249 272
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 138 140
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 39% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 56%