Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Orioles 5
Saturday, September 19, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
87-59 Rating 1579
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Orioles
60-87 Rating 1444
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 341 262
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 146 147
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.3
Win percentage 60% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 47%