Final Score: Phillies 9 - Marlins 3
Tuesday, September 22, 2009 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
87-61 Rating 1559
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
80-70 Rating 1509
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 139 122
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.3 4.8
Last meeting 3 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 148 150
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 59% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 53%