Final Score: Reds 10 - Astros 4
Friday, September 25, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
72-81 Rating 1467
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
71-81 Rating 1482
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 332 332
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 153 152
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.7
Win percentage 47% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 55%