Final Score: Reds 10 - Astros 4
Saturday, September 26, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
73-81 Rating 1469
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
71-82 Rating 1480
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 333 332
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 154 153
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.7
Win percentage 47% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 54%