Final Score: Blue Jays 11 - Red Sox 5
Monday, September 28, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
72-84 Rating 1501
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Red Sox
91-64 Rating 1575
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 205 259
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 156 155
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 46% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 70%