Final Score: Pirates 8 - Cubs 2
Wednesday, September 30, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
60-97 Rating 1405
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.4
Cubs
82-75 Rating 1515
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 358 312
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 38% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 59%