Final Score: Padres 11 - Pirates 6
Monday, September 21, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
68-82 Rating 1459
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Pirates
56-91 Rating 1406
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 189 235
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 150 147
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.7
Win percentage 45% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 51%