Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Orioles 6
Saturday, October 3, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
75-85 Rating 1506
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.5
Orioles
62-98 Rating 1432
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Orioles
All-time wins 248 220
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 7 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Orioles
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.4
Win percentage 47% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 47%