Final Score: Pirates 2 - Phillies 12
Monday, May 17, 2010 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
16-21 Rating 1420
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
23-13 Rating 1560
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 288 272
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 37 36
Avg runs scored 3.5 5.6
Avg runs conceded 6.1 3.9
Win percentage 43% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 62%