Final Score: Pirates 2 - Phillies 1
Tuesday, May 18, 2010 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
16-22 Rating 1419
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.7
Phillies
24-13 Rating 1561
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 288 273
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 2 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 38 37
Avg runs scored 3.5 5.7
Avg runs conceded 6.2 3.9
Win percentage 42% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 65%