Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Orioles 5
Wednesday, April 27, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
10-12 Rating 1545
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.6
Orioles
9-12 Rating 1460
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 352 272
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 22 21
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.7
Win percentage 45% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 46%