Final Score: Yankees 4 - Orioles 1
Wednesday, May 18, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
21-19 Rating 1565
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Orioles
19-21 Rating 1467
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Orioles
All-time wins 366 274
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Orioles
Games played 40 40
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 52% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 48%