Final Score: Phillies 3 - Pirates 6
Saturday, June 4, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
34-23 Rating 1562
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
63%
37%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Pirates
27-29 Rating 1421
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 274 293
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 57 56
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.4 3.9
Win percentage 60% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 42%