Final Score: Phillies 7 - Blue Jays 6
Friday, July 1, 2011 at 1:07 PM ET

Phillies @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
51-31 Rating 1570
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Blue Jays
40-42 Rating 1515
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Blue Jays
All-time wins 18 21
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 5.2
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Blue Jays
Games played 82 82
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.5
Win percentage 62% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 47%