Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Phillies 2
Thursday, June 30, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
45-34 Rating 1558
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
51-30 Rating 1572
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Phillies
All-time wins 26 19
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.9 4.8
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Phillies
Games played 79 81
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.2
Win percentage 57% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 71%