Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Astros 5
Friday, July 1, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
46-34 Rating 1561
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Astros
29-53 Rating 1444
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 4 2
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.5 4.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 80 82
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 57% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 32%