Final Score: Phillies 5 - Blue Jays 3
Saturday, July 2, 2011 at 1:07 PM ET

Phillies @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
52-31 Rating 1571
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Blue Jays
40-43 Rating 1513
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Blue Jays
All-time wins 19 21
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 5.2
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Blue Jays
Games played 83 83
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.5
Win percentage 63% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 46%