Final Score: Padres 5 - Phillies 4
Monday, July 25, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
44-58 Rating 1478
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
64-36 Rating 1580
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 195 242
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 102 100
Avg runs scored 3.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 3.3
Win percentage 43% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 71%