Final Score: Phillies 4 - Cubs 2
Tuesday, July 19, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
59-36 Rating 1572
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Cubs
39-58 Rating 1458
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 300 270
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 95 97
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.4 5.0
Win percentage 62% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 43%