Final Score: Phillies 1 - Marlins 0
Monday, July 4, 2011 at 6:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
53-32 Rating 1571
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Marlins
38-46 Rating 1481
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 161 133
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.2 4.6
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 85 84
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.4
Win percentage 62% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 40%