Final Score: Phillies 14 - Marlins 2
Tuesday, July 5, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
54-32 Rating 1573
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Marlins
38-47 Rating 1479
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 162 133
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.2 4.6
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 86 85
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.3
Win percentage 63% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 39%