Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 7
Wednesday, July 6, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
55-32 Rating 1575
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Marlins
38-48 Rating 1478
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 163 133
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.3 4.6
Last meeting 14 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 87 86
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.4
Win percentage 63% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 38%