Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Red Sox 4
Wednesday, September 14, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
74-74 Rating 1516
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
86-61 Rating 1564
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 221 281
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 6 18

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 148 147
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 50% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 60%