Final Score: Reds 3 - Pirates 4
Friday, September 23, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
76-80 Rating 1487
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Pirates
69-87 Rating 1416
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 312 268
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 49% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 44%