Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Rays 1
Friday, September 23, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
79-77 Rating 1521
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
86-70 Rating 1554
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 116 120
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.8
Win percentage 51% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 56%