Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Rays 6
Saturday, September 24, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
80-77 Rating 1523
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.5
Rays
86-71 Rating 1552
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 117 120
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.8
Win percentage 51% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 55%