Final Score: Nationals 6 - Marlins 4
Monday, September 26, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
78-80 Rating 1467
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Marlins
71-88 Rating 1471
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 127 168
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.8
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 158 159
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 49% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 40%