Final Score: Nationals 2 - Marlins 3
Tuesday, September 27, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
79-80 Rating 1470
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
71-89 Rating 1469
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 128 168
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.8
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 159 160
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.4
Win percentage 50% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 39%