Final Score: Nationals 3 - Marlins 1
Wednesday, September 28, 2011 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
79-81 Rating 1468
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Marlins
72-89 Rating 1471
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 128 169
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.8
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 160 161
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 49% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 40%