Final Score: Yankees 7 - Rays 8
Wednesday, September 28, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
97-64 Rating 1584
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.0
Rays
90-71 Rating 1559
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 150 87
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.6 4.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.8
Win percentage 60% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 57%