Final Score: Cardinals 6 - Phillies 11
Saturday, October 1, 2011 at 5:00 PM ET

Cardinals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
90-72 Rating 1524
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
102-60 Rating 1580
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Phillies
All-time wins 300 279
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Phillies
Games played 162 162
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.3
Win percentage 56% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 64%