Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Phillies 4
Sunday, October 2, 2011 at 8:30 PM ET

Cardinals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
90-73 Rating 1522
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
103-60 Rating 1582
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Phillies
All-time wins 300 280
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 6 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Phillies
Games played 163 163
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.3
Win percentage 55% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 65%