Final Score: Nationals 4 - Pirates 5
Tuesday, May 8, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
18-10 Rating 1489
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Pirates
12-16 Rating 1431
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Pirates
All-time wins 275 301
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 2 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Pirates
Games played 28 28
Avg runs scored 3.4 2.8
Avg runs conceded 2.9 3.7
Win percentage 64% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%