Final Score: Nationals 7 - Reds 3
Friday, May 11, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
19-12 Rating 1486
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Reds
16-14 Rating 1492
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 201 236
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 31 30
Avg runs scored 3.4 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.0 3.7
Win percentage 61% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 57%