Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Rays 3
Thursday, May 17, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
17-20 Rating 1531
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
24-14 Rating 1565
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 147 106
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.3
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 37 38
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 46% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 82%