Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Phillies 6
Friday, May 18, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
18-20 Rating 1533
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
20-19 Rating 1556
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Phillies
All-time wins 27 19
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.8 4.7
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Phillies
Games played 38 39
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 47% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%