Final Score: Phillies 8 - Cubs 7
Thursday, May 17, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
19-19 Rating 1554
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Cubs
15-22 Rating 1464
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 305 272
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 9 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 38 37
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.7
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 50% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 45%