Final Score: Padres 3 - Phillies 7
Friday, May 11, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
11-21 Rating 1458
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.2
Phillies
14-18 Rating 1550
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 198 244
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 32 32
Avg runs scored 3.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.1
Win percentage 34% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 38%