Final Score: Pirates 5 - Astros 3
Thursday, July 26, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
55-42 Rating 1475
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5
Astros
34-65 Rating 1397
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 271 293
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 97 99
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.0
Win percentage 57% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 50%