Final Score: Pirates 4 - Astros 3
Saturday, July 28, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
57-42 Rating 1479
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.6
Astros
34-67 Rating 1394
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 273 293
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 99 101
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.0
Win percentage 58% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 48%