Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Rays 7
Thursday, September 20, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
68-82 Rating 1503
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
79-70 Rating 1543
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 153 110
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.3
Last meeting 3 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 150 149
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.9 3.7
Win percentage 45% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 54%