Final Score: Reds 4 - Pirates 3
Sunday, September 30, 2012 at 1:35 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
95-63 Rating 1530
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Pirates
77-81 Rating 1445
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 323 277
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.2
Win percentage 60% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 56%