Final Score: Pirates 1 - Astros 7
Friday, September 21, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
74-75 Rating 1450
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.4
Astros
48-102 Rating 1379
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 276 295
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 149 150
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 50% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 43%