Final Score: Phillies 2 - Nationals 0
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
80-79 Rating 1534
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.2
Nationals
96-63 Rating 1531
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 393 350
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 50% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 62%