Final Score: Phillies 1 - Nationals 5
Wednesday, October 3, 2012 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
81-80 Rating 1535
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.2
Nationals
97-64 Rating 1531
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 394 351
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 50% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 61%