Final Score: Phillies 2 - Pirates 8
Friday, July 4, 2014 at 5:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
37-48 Rating 1469
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.7
Pirates
44-41 Rating 1513
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 284 302
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 85 85
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 44% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 57%