Final Score: Phillies 2 - Pirates 3
Saturday, July 5, 2014 at 4:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
37-49 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.8
Pirates
45-41 Rating 1514
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 284 303
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 86 86
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.2
Win percentage 43% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 57%